Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 38.37%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
