Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Santos had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Santos win was 1-0 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
