Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 48.97%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 25.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
