Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 56.07%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 18.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
