Brasileiro | Gameweek 21
Nov 14, 2020 at 10pm UK
Castelao
Fortaleza
2 - 3
Sao Paulo
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 40.81%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 1-0 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortaleza | Draw | Sao Paulo |
| 32.55% | 26.64% | 40.81% |
| Both teams to score 51.48% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
