Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 47.29%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 26.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.08%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.
