Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fluminense and Coritiba.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 44.38%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 27.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 2-1 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.04%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.
