Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 71.51%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 11.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.27%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (3.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
