Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 38.72%. A win for Coritiba had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.85%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Coritiba win was 1-0 (11.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
