Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Ceara and Sao Paulo.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for Ceara had a probability of 36.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Ceara win was 1-0 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
