Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 47.36%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 26.64% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 1-0 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.