Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Botafogo and Fortaleza.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
