Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
