Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Fortaleza.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.56%) and 2-1 (8.36%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.
