Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 59.13%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 16.43%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.59%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
