Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 73.43%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 9.87%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.92%) and 3-0 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.94%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (3.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.