Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 40.87%. A win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Sint-Truiden win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
