Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Sint-Truiden win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charleroi would win this match.
