Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eupen win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eupen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Leuven win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
