Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 40.79%. A win for Vitebsk had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Vitebsk win was 1-0 (10.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
