Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 57.28%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Hacken had a probability of 20.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Hacken win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
