Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Sirius had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Sirius win was 0-1 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
