MX23RW : Saturday, April 1 23:34:18| >> :300:86500:86500:
Oct 4, 2020 at 4.30pm UK at Guldfågeln Arena
Kalmar
0 - 4
Malmo

Gustafsson (68'), Nouri (77')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Kalmar and Malmo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 63.73%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Kalmar had a probability of 15.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.34%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Kalmar win it was 1-0 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

Result
KalmarDrawMalmo
15.97%20.3%63.73%
Both teams to score 52.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.56%42.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.16%64.84%
Kalmar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.42%39.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.73%76.26%
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.35%12.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.2%38.79%
Score Analysis
    Kalmar 15.97%
    Malmo 63.72%
    Draw 20.3%
KalmarDrawMalmo
1-0 @ 4.64%
2-1 @ 4.45%
2-0 @ 2.15%
3-2 @ 1.42%
3-1 @ 1.37%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 15.97%
1-1 @ 9.59%
0-0 @ 5%
2-2 @ 4.6%
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.3%
0-2 @ 10.7%
0-1 @ 10.34%
1-2 @ 9.92%
0-3 @ 7.38%
1-3 @ 6.84%
0-4 @ 3.81%
1-4 @ 3.54%
2-3 @ 3.17%
2-4 @ 1.64%
0-5 @ 1.58%
1-5 @ 1.46%
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 63.72%

Head to Head
Jul 19, 2020 1.30pm
Malmo
2-1
Kalmar
Kiese Thelin (63', 89')
Ahmedhodzic (3'), Innocent (88')
Elm (35' pen.)
Rafinha (72')
Sep 1, 2019 2pm
Kalmar
0-5
Malmo

Aliti (50'), Lofkvist (67')
Romarinho (9')
Rieks (3'), Rosenberg (32', 51'), Ingvi Traustason (60'), Inge Berget (76')
May 19, 2019 2pm
Malmo
1-0
Kalmar
Christiansen (74')
Rosenberg (76'), Bengtsson (79'), Molins (94')

Aliti (25'), Elm (54')
Sep 23, 2018 4.30pm
Malmo
4-0
Kalmar
Ingvi Traustason (16', 42'), Gall (32'), Rosenberg (64')
Rosenberg (39')

Romarinho (37'), Stenmark (78'), Soderqvist (90')
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