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Osauna logo
La Liga | Gameweek 16
Dec 31, 2020 at 3.15pm UK
El Sadar
Alaves logo
Osasuna
1 - 1
Alaves
Torres (68')
Calleri (41'), Herrera (64'), Sanjurjo (73')
Ruben (8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Perez (75' pen.)
Pina (37'), Deyverson (40'), Lejeune (55'), Jota (82')

Preview: Osasuna vs. Alaves - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Osasuna square off against Alaves on Thursday afternoon looking to end their eight-match winless streak in La Liga.

On the back of an important 2-1 victory over Eibar, Alaves head into this contest having moved three points clear of the relegation zone.


Match preview

Osasuna manager Jagoba Arrasate in August 2019.© Reuters

With just two points being recorded from eight matches, Osasuna manager Jagoba Arrasate is aware that he must quickly end the club's poor run of form if he is to remain in the dugout.

There were positives to be taken from the 2-2 draw at Elche last time out, but twice letting slip a lead against their relegation rivals would have hurt Arraste and his squad.

Ahead of a triple-header with Real Sociedad, Real Madrid and Granada, the Los Rojillos boss will acknowledge that the stakes are high ahead of another tussle with a team who they will regard as a direct foe.

On the plus side for Osasuna, five goals have been netted during their last three games, including two for Roberto Torres who has joined Ruben Garcia at the top of the goalscoring charts with three strikes.

However, as many as 15 goals have been conceded in just six matches, four more than any other team over the same period.

Meanwhile, Alaves have made steady progress up the table since October 25, recording a total of 13 points from nine games.

While their two defeats to Huesca and Celta Vigo came earlier this month, Pablo Machin watched his side register a comeback success over Eibar in their most recent fixture.

Los Babazorros remain in close proximity to the bottom three, but Machin will be encouraged by how his side have performed in defence in the long term.

Alaves have not conceded more than two goals in a game since losing 3-1 at Villarreal on September 30, a run which has included fixtures with Barcelona and Real Madrid.

Osasuna La Liga form: DLLLLD
Osasuna form (all competitions): LLLWLD

Alaves La Liga form: DWDLLW
Alaves form (all competitions): WDLWLW


Team News

Alaves manager Pablo Machin pictured in October 2020© Reuters

Alaves will have to do without Rodrigo Battaglia, who is serving a suspension for five yellow cards.

Ruben Duarte remains sidelined with a knee injury, which should lead to Adrian Marin deputising at left-back.

While Osasuna are missing the suspended Inigo Perez, Aridane Hernandez is back after completing his one-match ban.

Darko Brasanac is expected to be passed fit after overcoming a knock sustained in the last game.

Osasuna possible starting lineup:
Martinez; Roncaglia, Garcia, Hernandez, Cruz; Torres, Moncayola, Brasanac, Garcia; Calleri, Budimir

Alaves possible starting lineup:
Pacheco; Navarro, Laguardia, Lejeune, Marin; Mendez, Pina, Garcia, Rioja; Deyverson, Joselu


SM words green background

We say: Osasuna 1-1 Alaves

Osasuna are aware that they can ill-afford another defeat to a relegation rival, and that may result in a nervous performance from the home side. However, with Alaves likely to be content with settling for a point, the home side could be given opportunities to claim a share of the spoils.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 38.47%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.77%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Alaves win was 0-1 (11.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.


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