Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 40.98%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.52%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.
