Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 42.52%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.68%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wellington Phoenix would win this match.
