Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 41.44%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
