Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 39.89%. A win for Melbourne City had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.68%) and 0-2 (5.94%). The likeliest Melbourne City win was 2-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.