Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SV Darmstadt 98 win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a SV Darmstadt 98 win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SV Darmstadt 98 would win this match.
