Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karlsruher SC win with a probability of 49.89%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 26.1% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karlsruher SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 0-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
