Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greuther Furth win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greuther Furth win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Greuther Furth in this match.
